Research
Research papers and ongoing work.
Submitted
Research paper
Navigating forest dieback and adaptation: Public preferences and participatory governance in the Compiègne Forest
(With Abildtrup Jens, Brèteau-Amores Sandrine, Arnould Maxence and Bonin Frédéric)
The Compiègne Forest, renowned for its historical, ecological, and social role, is experiencing dieback due to human, biological, or climate pressures and needs a new management system. In response to this challenge, a comprehensive living lab process was implemented, engaging all relevant stakeholders throughout the co-creation trajectory. At the core of this approach, a discrete choice experiment (DCE) was integrated as a pivotal methodological component. Upstream, a series of focus groups helped identify and refine the attributes and levels, ensuring that the DCE design was grounded in locally shared concerns and priorities. Downstream, the DCE results provided robust, evidence-based insights to guide collective decision-making and to inform the selection of appropriate management solutions and recommendations in terms of forest planning. The DCE results reveal a strong public preference for preserving old-growth forests and wetlands, improved communication, and greater involvement in decision-making. Respondents also favor smaller, well-designed, and well-maintained areas over larger, unmanaged spaces. Moreover, we observe heterogeneity in preferences across distinct groups. This study makes two key contributions: first, it highlights the heterogeneity of public preferences for forest adaptation and emphasizes the need for sustainable, spatially differentiated management; second, it proposes an integrated participatory and preference-elicitation framework (Living Lab and DCE) to support complex collective decision-making.
Read paper →Working Paper
Research paper
Climate Adaptation and Conflict in Africa
(With François Bareille, and Raphael Soubeyran)
Many studies find that drought fuels conflict by reducing agricultural income, yet how farmers’ adaptation shapes these effects remains poorly understood. This paper tests whether fertilizer prices amplify drought-induced conflict in Africa over 1997–2019 by making adaptation more costly. Combining international prices and predetermined crop suitability in a transport-adjusted shift-share index, we estimate dynamic drought effects across 0.5° × 0.5° cells before and after prices surge in 2005–2008. Drought has little effect under low prices, but significantly larger effects afterward. Consistent with our mechanisms, we find that the price surge generates additional drought-induced conflicts equivalent to 25% of total conflicts observed afterward.
Read paper →Work in progress
Research paper
Drought and Conflict Dynamics in Africa
(With Rapahel Soubeyran)
Work in Progress — Coming Soon
Read paper →Research paper
Groundwater Recharge and Climate Adaptation in Africa
(Job Market Paper)
Work in Progress — Coming Soon
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